Hazard Area Likelihood (HAL) Index
Updated Forecast
Fri Aug 23 - 0700AM CDT
Fri Aug 23 - 0700AM CDT
Forecast Summary:
Although the National Hurricane Center forecasts a 70% chance of tropical storm development for a system tracking near the southeast U.S. Coast, substantial wind and flood damage, from either heavy rain or storm surge, are unlikely in the U.S. within the next five days. We have bumped the likelihood of substantial flooding from heavy rain up to 1% due to deep moisture both near SE Atlantic Coast and South Louisiana. See graphics below.
Although the National Hurricane Center forecasts a 70% chance of tropical storm development for a system tracking near the southeast U.S. Coast, substantial wind and flood damage, from either heavy rain or storm surge, are unlikely in the U.S. within the next five days. We have bumped the likelihood of substantial flooding from heavy rain up to 1% due to deep moisture both near SE Atlantic Coast and South Louisiana. See graphics below.
Substantial Wind Damage
Substantial Flood Damage (Rainfall)
Substantial Flood Damage (Storm Surge)
